Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 203.100717 236.082770 274.035923 321.237851 378.780722 447.179330 535.424447
2025-08-24 157.058707 197.646304 249.225506 320.684356 418.891781 551.810863 750.095899
2025-08-31 131.491366 174.553945 233.125644 320.713470 452.150119 648.572350 977.679094
2025-09-07 115.704540 160.224579 224.163575 325.965377 490.498014 758.544607 1257.502342
2025-09-14 99.407334 142.054743 205.861461 312.458666 495.066987 813.980123 1462.046933
2025-09-21 89.631311 131.874159 197.539335 312.374529 520.512697 909.973140 1775.748578
2025-09-28 82.233843 124.212423 191.773991 315.018827 550.566310 1021.546858 2166.101239
2025-10-05 79.230090 123.054041 196.251345 336.030026 619.300299 1229.858273 2876.636312
2025-10-12 76.097951 121.201628 199.126275 354.370080 686.860455 1457.452069 3764.811815
2025-10-19 70.479245 114.403323 192.262421 352.512257 710.884367 1591.064427 4464.159672
2025-10-26 67.171599 111.269300 191.623787 362.980488 764.943505 1818.959930 5623.513497
2025-11-02 63.516097 107.095551 188.455406 367.514483 806.056873 2027.506281 6880.126736
2025-11-09 59.763059 102.790413 185.347898 373.702142 858.661334 2309.503416 8794.463401
2025-11-16 55.583625 97.300677 179.320640 372.625476 893.675084 2560.627137 10919.991059
2025-11-23 52.000664 92.559275 174.175340 372.637321 932.098035 2846.021170 13663.768820
2025-11-30 49.344799 89.348391 171.800945 378.948447 991.292014 3244.137000 17825.614421
2025-12-07 45.211097 82.745150 161.282612 362.722974 976.653587 3345.662909 20162.711741
2025-12-14 42.703340 79.240935 157.198027 362.621987 1014.419105 3696.007187 25348.854177
2025-12-21 40.659583 76.504064 154.505808 365.796245 1064.758738 4142.241569 32802.461570
2025-12-28 40.178796 77.026908 159.383100 391.057246 1203.269874 5143.895364 50719.328179
2026-01-04 39.464185 76.963157 162.860824 413.161480 1340.456027 6288.838022 78219.726339
2026-01-11 37.457554 73.847459 158.522005 410.920093 1380.334683 6894.892003 101300.931045
2026-01-18 36.363139 72.685875 158.912491 423.556104 1489.023124 8091.101797 150804.310110